Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.034336 0.037410 0.040502 0.043837 0.047327 0.050867 0.054721
2025-12-21 0.030011 0.034624 0.039410 0.044722 0.050431 0.056361 0.062966
2025-12-28 0.025493 0.031086 0.037063 0.043871 0.051360 0.059300 0.068307
2026-01-04 0.022540 0.028906 0.035891 0.044026 0.053149 0.062982 0.074300
2026-01-11 0.020432 0.027439 0.035311 0.044658 0.055312 0.066953 0.080512
2026-01-18 0.018591 0.026097 0.034720 0.045141 0.057194 0.070521 0.086203
2026-01-25 0.015886 0.023509 0.032499 0.043583 0.056612 0.071206 0.088567
2026-02-01 0.014083 0.021878 0.031287 0.043092 0.057162 0.073095 0.092217
2026-02-08 0.012653 0.020599 0.030409 0.042917 0.058012 0.075270 0.096146
2026-02-15 0.012027 0.020308 0.030705 0.044125 0.060468 0.079284 0.102173
2026-02-22 0.011339 0.019878 0.030786 0.045034 0.062542 0.082835 0.107655
2026-03-01 0.010575 0.019286 0.030617 0.045598 0.064173 0.085849 0.112499
2026-03-08 0.009656 0.018442 0.030108 0.045746 0.065327 0.088345 0.116807
2026-03-15 0.009173 0.018187 0.030354 0.046838 0.067635 0.092219 0.122749
2026-03-22 0.008043 0.016902 0.029166 0.046047 0.067586 0.093253 0.125327
2026-03-29 0.007356 0.016229 0.028766 0.046244 0.068741 0.095717 0.129589
2026-04-05 0.006883 0.015847 0.028742 0.046912 0.070471 0.098866 0.134659
2026-04-12 0.006396 0.015407 0.028609 0.047417 0.071981 0.101741 0.139400
2026-04-19 0.005338 0.013935 0.026942 0.045817 0.070771 0.101259 0.140084
2026-04-26 0.004684 0.013079 0.026116 0.045313 0.070934 0.102439 0.142751
2026-05-03 0.004170 0.012420 0.025547 0.045133 0.071495 0.104095 0.145984
2026-05-10 0.004039 0.012451 0.026009 0.046377 0.073910 0.108057 0.152025
2026-05-17 0.003844 0.012346 0.026254 0.047313 0.075920 0.111515 0.157457